China
Harnessing US–China Competition for Positive Outcomes in the Indo-Pacific
US–China institutional balancing enhances outcomes for the Indo-Pacific through reform and deeper regional engagement. This rivalry, characterized by competition in international institutions, increases choices and stability among regional states.
Positive Outcomes of US–China Institutional Balancing
The institutional balancing between the US and China significantly benefits the Indo-Pacific region. This strategic rivalry fosters reforms in existing international frameworks, enhances cooperation with regional nations, and increases the provision of critical public goods, particularly in infrastructure. Instead of fostering destructive competition, this dynamic empowers regional states with more choices and negotiating power, thereby maintaining stability. This productive rivalry is expected to persist even under a transactional foreign policy environment.
Historical Context of Great Power Rivalry
The rise and fall of great powers is a historical constant in global politics, exemplified by the current US–China strategic rivalry. Beyond military competition, both nations engage in institutional competition, aiming to shape or establish international organizations that extend their influence. This rivalry not only amplifies their global standing but also serves to constrain one another’s power.
Intensifying Institutional Competition
Expect the intensity of institutional balancing to increase, even under another Trump administration. Nuclear deterrence reduces the feasibility of military confrontations, prompting states to use institutions as competitive platforms. These frameworks allow nations to leverage rules and norms against rivals while minimizing escalation risks. Examples of institutional balancing can be seen in the inclusive approach of US support for China’s WTO membership and the exclusive nature of the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, which excludes China to promote a shared vision of regional stability.
Source : US–China competition has productive potential for the Indo-Pacific
