China
Great power competition has shifted in the United States’ favour
Author: Ryan Hass, Brookings Institution
At the start of 2022, China’s economy appeared strong, Beijing seemed to have contained the spread of COVID-19, Sino–Russian relations were deepening and there was growing talk of autocracies stealing the march on democracies across the world. China’s leaders were proclaiming that ‘time and momentum’ were on China’s side in its great power competition with the United States.
Meanwhile, the United States was mired in partisan paralysis, with President Joe Biden’s ‘Build Back Better’ agenda seemingly stuck. Washington was reeling from the reputational damage of the United States’ chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan. Within Asia, talk was growing louder of China dominating the 21st century.
A year later, the script reads differently. China’s economy has turned sluggish, pulled down by expanding state intervention in the economy, waves of COVID-related lockdowns, a property sector slowdown and softening international demand for Chinese exports. Beijing’s messy exit from its zero-COVID policy has exacerbated domestic stressors. Even as China remains the largest trading partner for most of the world, its economic lustre has dimmed amid declining economic growth.
China’s international image in most of the developed world has also suffered. Part of this owes to China’s rhetorical support for Russia amid Moscow’s barbarism in Ukraine. China’s plummeting image is also attributable to its hardening authoritarianism at home, its nationalistic ‘wolf warrior’ diplomacy and its growing military activity along its periphery, including in the waters and airspace around Taiwan.
By comparison, Biden’s political position has strengthened. At home, the Biden administration secured passage of the bipartisan Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, the CHIPS and Science Act and the Inflation Reduction Act, which together add up to over US$1 trillion in government spending. Though elements of these investments favouring domestic manufacturing have generated friction with US trading partners, they represent a generational investment in US innovation. Technology companies such as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Samsung, Micron, SK Hynix, Intel and IBM announced investments in semiconductor production in the United States exceeding US$100 billion.
The United States also strengthened its position abroad. Transatlantic unity deepened under the stress of the joint response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Coordination strengthened in other purpose-driven groupings, such as the Quad and AUKUS. The G7 bolstered its relevance as its members acted with greater cohesion on global challenges, including financing Indonesia and Vietnam’s clean energy transitions. US–ASEAN ties were elevated to a comprehensive strategic partnership. The United States’ relationships with Pacific Island countries also advanced, including through the release of the White House’s Pacific Partnership Strategy.
Looking ahead, several potential flashpoints will require careful management in 2023, including North Korea’s nuclear program, China–India border flareups and rising tensions in the Taiwan Strait. A key question will be whether the United States’ progress and China’s relative setbacks over the past year create conditions conducive for Washington and Beijing to lower the temperature of bilateral relations.
Biden will face domestic political pressure to maintain an unyielding posture on China. China’s President Xi Jinping, similarly, is unlikely to relent on issues that are aggravating tensions. Still, from a strategic standpoint, the United States’ global partners would welcome efforts by Washington to cool tensions, even if they do not yield reciprocal actions from Beijing.
US officials are receiving consistent demands from foreign counterparts to responsibly manage competition with China. Many countries around the world are more focussed on addressing proximate challenges, such as rising sea levels and mounting debt, than they are on great power competition. They want to see the United States galvanise global efforts to tackle common challenges rather than grow fixated on tit-for-tat games with China.
The Biden administration entered office believing it needed to invest at home and deepen relations with partners to put the United States in a ‘situation of strength’ to deal directly with China. Now that it has made historic investments in US innovation and strengthened bonds with global partners, a key question is whether the Biden…
Business
AstraZeneca Stock Declines Amid Reports of Possible Probe Fallout in China – Reuters
AstraZeneca shares declined following reports of potential repercussions from a probe in China, highlighting concerns over regulatory scrutiny and its impact on the company’s operations and financial performance.
AstraZeneca Under Scrutiny
AstraZeneca faces potential fallout from a reported investigation in China, leading to a noticeable decline in its share price. Investors reacted sharply to the news, reflecting concerns over possible regulatory pressures that could impact the pharmaceutical company’s operations in the region. The drop in shares has prompted analysts to scrutinize the implications of this development for the company’s future prospects.
Market Reactions
The market’s immediate response indicates significant unease among shareholders as they weigh the risks associated with the potential probe. Financial analysts suggest that if the investigation leads to strict regulations or penalties, AstraZeneca could face challenges in maintaining its market position. This uncertainty highlights the fragile nature of investor confidence in the pharmaceutical sector, particularly in international markets like China.
Future Implications
As AstraZeneca navigates this turbulent situation, it remains to be seen how the investigation will unfold and what direct impact it will have on the company’s strategic direction. Keeping a close eye on the developments will be crucial for stakeholders. The pharmaceutical giant’s ability to respond effectively to these challenges will determine its future stability in the competitive global market.
Source : AstraZeneca shares fall on report of potential China probe fallout – Reuters
China
Strengthening Economic Relations Between China and Singapore: Trade, Investment, and Future Opportunities
Since 2013, Singapore has been China’s largest foreign investment source and trading partner. Both countries collaborate in the Belt and Road Initiative, with over 8,500 Chinese firms in Singapore. Their trade strengthened under the RCEP Agreement, growing by 4.4% in 2023.
Singapore has been China’s largest source of new foreign investment for 11 consecutive years since 2013. Likewise, China has remained Singapore’s largest trading partner, largest export market, and largest source of imports for 11 years in a row. Companies from both countries have jointly explored opportunities in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) markets, achieving positive outcomes in areas such as infrastructure, financial technology, legal services, and third-party market cooperation.
Currently, there are over 8,500 Chinese enterprises registered in Singapore, covering a wide range of industries, including trade, finance, shipping, infrastructure, logistics, and real estate. Singapore serves as a key hub on the Maritime Silk Road and plays an important role in the high-quality development of the BRI.
In this article, we explore the strengthening economic ties between China and Singapore, highlighting potential opportunities in bilateral trade and investment.
China and Singapore are both member countries in the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) Agreement. This is a Free Trade Agreement (FTA) between 15 countries and is the largest FTA in the world. Since the RCEP Agreement entered into force in 2022, China and Singapore’s year-on-year bilateral trade has increased by 4.4 percent by the fourth quarter of 2023.
Source: Ministry of Commerce, China
Singapore’s top exports to China are electrical equipment and nuclear machinery, two categories that have consistently been major imports over an extended period.
This article was first published by China Briefing , which is produced by Dezan Shira & Associates. The firm assists foreign investors throughout Asia from offices across the world, including in in China, Hong Kong, Vietnam, Singapore, and India . Readers may write to info@dezshira.com for more support. |
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Business
International Aquarium Conference Shifts from Mexico to China: A Global Focus
Wuhan’s HHAn Polar Ocean Park successfully received the IAC flag, marking the 2027 event countdown. The city aims to promote aquatic research and biodiversity conservation through an upcoming science education museum.
Success of the Flag Handover Ceremony
The International Aquarium Congress (IAC) celebrated a significant milestone on November 1, 2024, in Guadalajara, Mexico, with the flag handover ceremony for the upcoming 13th IAC in 2027. This event, often dubbed the "Olympics of the Aquarium Industry," marks the return of the IAC to China for the first time since 2008. HHAn-Wuhan Polar Ocean Park received the flag, highlighting Wuhan’s prominence in aquatic research and conservation.
Wuhan: A Hub for Aquatic Research
Wuhan stands out as a leading center for aquatic organism research, housing the largest cluster of related institutions in China and globally. Its selection as the first inland city to host the IAC emphasizes its rich scientific heritage and commitment to environmental sustainability. The city’s advanced research capabilities and dedication to biodiversity make it an ideal venue for such a prestigious event.
Commitment to Environmental Education
Tan Wencheng, General Manager of HHAn-Wuhan Polar Ocean Park, expressed the park’s dedication to supporting Wuhan’s growth over the past 13 years. As a key urban tourism landmark, the park plans to construct a 2,000-square-meter science education museum focusing on Yangtze River aquatic organisms and ecological protection. This initiative aims to foster public understanding and appreciation for aquatic biodiversity and drive conservation efforts in the region.
Source : Global Spotlight on International Aquarium Conference as It Moves from Mexico to China