Authors: Jun Wen and Fangli Hu, Edith Cowan University and Danni Zheng, Fudan University

The Asia Pacific tourism industry was thriving before the COVID-19 pandemic, driven by strong demand from Chinese tourists with increasing disposable incomes.

Pre-pandemic, Chinese tourists’ arrival to the Asia Pacific region was forecast to increase to 150 million by 2020, with an aggregate expenditure of US$230 billion. But this did not materialise due to pandemic-related travel restrictions that still affect Chinese tourists today.

Historically, Chinese tourists tended to travel as part of package trips involving group tours with multiple destination stops. This trend is changing as younger Chinese tourists favour more independent forms of travel that allow greater flexibility. But the thriving tourism industry was completely disrupted by the pandemic. The Asia Pacific suffered an 84 per cent plunge in overseas visitors and recorded a 300 million decrease in tourist arrivals. This led to a massive slowdown in the aviation, hotel, restaurant and tourism industries that still lingers today.

As Asia Pacific’s travel and tourism industry slowly recovers to pre-pandemic levels, some key trends have emerged. There is higher demand for rural and coastal destinations that have natural elements and offer more privacy compared to urban destinations.

This is influenced by COVID-19 lockdowns which were particularly harsh for those living in high-density city apartments. Ongoing COVID-19 concerns mean that tourists tend to keep their travel plans simple, flexible and close to home.

There has been a significant increase in eco-tourism and wellness-based tourism. Since the pandemic, physical and mental health awareness has increased. This is part of a broader trend of younger tourists seeking socially conscious and sustainable tourism that supports the local community and the environment.

The tourism industry is largely driven by the private sector, but it still depends on an intricate network of government rules, inter-country travel agreements and infrastructure investments. In the short term, tourist destinations and governments need to be vigilant about protecting against overtourism as travel rebounds in key markets — excluding China — in the Asia Pacific region.

Overtourism is defined by UNWTO as ‘the impact of tourism on a destination… that excessively influences perceived quality of life of citizens and/ or quality of visitors’ experiences in a negative way’. Contemporary youth emphasise sustainability and this provides opportunities for governments to promote new sustainable tourism initiatives and enterprises.

The future of tourism across the Asia Pacific must include diversification that extends beyond the traditional demographic of overseas visitors. In 2019, domestic tourist expenditures across the Asia Pacific reached an all-time high. Destinations must be promoted to domestic markets to support the quick return of visitors in the short term.

In the medium term, destinations should strive to diversify visitors and build resilience. The pandemic has inadvertently led to some silver linings by reducing overtourism, which has dispersed job creation and the economic benefits of tourism spending for top destinations, while supporting tourism beyond these destinations.

The tourism industry can recalibrate the travel market to promote interregional travel and redress the balance away from China in the short to medium term. Chinese outbound tourism is not forecast to restart until at least 2023  and will not return to its pre-pandemic levels until 2024 due to China’s zero-COVID-19 policy.

Beijing has remained firm with its zero-COVID-19 policy, which effectively bans outbound travel. International flights are severely restricted and international arrivals are subject to strict quarantine. Although China is easing its quarantine and travel restrictions, the timeline for a return to ‘normal’ remains unpredictable.

Hong Kong’s tourism industry will likely take two to three years to recover. While the current ‘0+3’ quarantine policy has attracted some Asian tourists to Hong Kong, it is still insufficient to boost tourism. But there are still opportunities for Hong Kong tourism investors.

The gradual progression of the 0+3 policy toward the complete removal of entry quarantine restrictions and the continued promotion of quarantine-free customs clearance for travellers from mainland China provides a glimmer of hope for Hong Kong’s tourism recovery. Once mainland China’s outbound travel resumes,…

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