Luxury property developer Raimon Land has released Condominium Focus Bangkok Update, its first quarterly research publication of the year. The document reveals a remarkable recovery of the Bangkok upscale condominium market despite the ongoing domestic political tensions.
The fourth quarter of 2009 saw the Thai economy post 5.8% GDP growth, due primarily to exports to Asian markets bouncing back, leading to developers releasing more projects and local buyers queuing up to purchase them as confidence has streamed back into the industry.
The latest edition of Condominium Focus Bangkok Update, available as a free download at www.raimonland.com, explains that projects launched by listed developers received an upbeat response with condominium presales totaling THB 15.1 billion in Q4 2009, an increase of 380% over the same quarter in 2008.
In total, 1,087 condominium units were transferred in Q4 2009 for an average price per square metre of THB 98,551.
Interestingly, domestic buyers represented over 90% of sales during that period while foreigners represented only 8.8% of sales, showing that the political upheaval has upset the international investment market more than Thai buyers.
Raimon Land Deputy Vice President for Research and Development, Simon Dervillé, said the first quarter of 2010 has been active in inner-city Bangkok.
“One of the key findings of our research is that demand from Thai buyers has been remarkably strong with many developers now turning their attention to this target group. At Raimon Land, Thai buyers now represent two-thirds of our sales, gaining significant ground over the foreign demand that was prominent over the past two years,” said Mr Dervillé.
Condominium Focus Bangkok Update is an independently-researched publication on the inner-city Bangkok condominium market, aiming to provide investors and industry observers with accurate insight into supply, completions, off-plan sales and transfers.
- Presales more than doubled those in Q4/08, signalling the market has already bottomed out
- Construction costs by gross floor area (GFA) have fallen more than 10% since Q3/08
- The construction material price index (CMPI) dropped 24% from its July 2008 peak
- However, the drawdown on new loans tumbled 36.5% to THB1.8 billion from last year’s THB2.9 billion
Nonsense. The rise in domestic purchases is due to nothing more than a massive expansion of loans and credit to the domestic market. Pulling forward demand creates short-term unsustainable rises in price. The foreign buyers see this and are counting the months until collapse. This is a very, very old game. Too bad so many young working Thais don’t know the rules.