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Asean

Indian economic reform from the bottom up

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Author: Madhu Purnima Kishwar, CSDS

‘Development’ and ‘underdevelopment’ are politically loaded terms.

Most ‘underdeveloped’ societies have a colonial past in which their people and resources were economically exploited and their social, cultural and political institutions were wrecked. These terms are designed to create amnesia about the politics of colonialism and convince people in these societies that their poverty is due to their own ‘backwardness’. Whenever we see people trapped in poverty, instead of seeing them as objects of charity it is best to find out who is using what power to prevent people from earning a dignified living.

An important reason for the continuity of wide-scale poverty despite the growing wealth of the Indian elite is that India’s economic reforms have been confined to the corporate sector, which employs no more than 3 per cent of the country’s working population, compared to the 92 per cent of workers in the unorganised or informal sectors. The vast majority remain poor because they are the victims of bureaucratic controls. They include farmers, who yield enough crops to make the country self-sufficient, and whose produce — wheat, basmati rice, long staple cotton, and a whole range of exotic fruits and spices — has ready buyers in the national and international markets; and traditional craftspeople and artisans, including ironsmiths, goldsmiths, a range of metal workers, and those who make exquisite art objects and icons.

Poverty in the self-organised sectors continues due to the unwillingness of successive governments to incorporate these workers into the national agenda of economic reforms, as they yield enormous bribes and kickbacks. But just as large sections of India’s corporate sector have become globally competitive within the last 15 years of half-hearted liberalisation, those in India’s informal sectors also have the capacity to become generators of wealth if the government would stop creating needless hurdles and siphoning off a good part of workers’ incomes through bribes.

While the Indian corporate sector was not quite ready for liberalisation, farmers’ organisations in India have been fighting since the 1970s to get rid of statist controls. But the government has resisted economic reform in the farming sector and continues its war against Indian farmers through many different means.

For example, the colonial-minded Land Acquisition Act has uprooted 60 million farmers since independence and is yet to be repealed. Recently proposed reforms retain the colonial principle of eminent domain and do not give farmers the right to decide whether or not they want to sell their land. This enables land sharks to buy agricultural land at low prices.

Further, the draconian Essential Commodities Act enables the government to impose restrictions on farmers accessing national and international markets through a ban on interstate movement of food grains, and by obstructing private-sector purchases of food grains through direct and indirect means. The unrealistically high minimum export price (MEP) for farm produce makes Indian farmers internationally uncompetitive. For example, the Indian government fixed the MEP for onions at US$475 per tonne in 2011, while Pakistan and China were exporting at US$225-250 per tonne.

Farmers also face restrictions on the processing of produce; compulsory levies on sugar and rice (up to 75 per cent in some states); low investment in irrigation, which leads to frequent crop failures; little effort to prevent floods which destroy not only crops but also homes and assets; poor road connectivity and access to markets; inadequate power supply; an absence of crop insurance; poor rural infrastructure; and bureaucratic hurdles in setting up agro-processing industries.

Not surprisingly, millions are abandoning farming and migrating to cities as economic refugees. But property and land prices are so artificially inflated due to the government’s land monopoly that almost all of them end up living in slums as illegal encroachers — even while paying disproportionately high rents and protection money. Most are at the bottom of the employment ladder because the traditional skills they carry are not valued in the modern economy. The few who try to access the world of enterprise find the entry points blocked by statist controls. For example, street vending and cycle rickshaw-pulling attract impoverished migrants because they offer relatively greater opportunity for upward mobility than menial jobs. But city-government licensing policies make it virtually impossible for these workers to operate legally, and as a result they become easy victims of extortionist mafia.

Similarly, millions of highly skilled craftspeople, artisans and performing artists are abandoning their traditional occupations for unskilled, low-paying occupations. This process began during British colonial rule as part of a deliberate policy to de-industrialise India and create a market for British goods. It has continued unabated in independent India. To add insult to injury, all these productive and highly skilled social and economic groups are also termed ‘backward’ or India’s ‘most-backward castes’, with the government reserving small quotas for them in educational institutions and government jobs as a pretence at affirmative action.

So how should the government act to help these unorganised sectors?

First, farmers do not need free food — they need remunerative prices for their crops. This can happen only if farmers have free access to national and international markets. The government must also provide assured irrigation and a regular power supply to protect against crop losses and to increase productivity. Quality seeds, pesticides and other inputs are also badly needed — currently almost all improvements in seeds and farm technology come from the private sector. Further, farmers need improved connectivity to urban centres, better storage facilities for their crops, and affordable credit and crop insurance.

Similarly, the poverty of India’s traditional artisans and technologists cannot be eradicated by treating them as ‘backward’, while roping them into government jobs as clerks and peons as a panacea. They need access to national and international markets without exploitative intermediaries. In addition, they should be welcome in appropriate institutions of higher learning such as textile engineering, departments of metallurgy and schools of architecture, as well as in institutions for training artists and performers — both as teachers and students — so that they are able to build on their traditional skills.

The poor need no subsidies, no special concessions. All they need is freedom from needless bureaucratic controls that prevent them from earning a dignified living through their own entrepreneurialism and productive capacity. As Mahatma Gandhi said: ‘The pressure from the top crushes those at the bottom. All that is necessary is to get off their backs’.

Madhu Purnima Kishwar is Senior Fellow at the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, Delhi, and Director at the Indic Studies Project based at the CSDS.

This article appeared in the most recent edition of the East Asia Forum Quarterly, Ideas from India’.

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Indian economic reform from the bottom up

Asean

ASEAN weathering the COVID-19 typhoon

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Vietnam's Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc addresses a special video conference with leaders of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), on the coronavirus disease (COVID-19), in Hanoi 14 April, 2020 (Photo:Reuters/Manan Vatsyayana).

Author: Sandra Seno-Alday, Sydney University

The roughly 20 typhoons that hit Southeast Asia each year pale in comparison to the impact on the region of COVID-19 — a storm of a very different sort striking not just Southeast Asia but the world.

 

Just how badly is the COVID-19 typhoon thrashing the region? And what might the post-crisis recovery and reconstruction look like? To answer these questions, it is necessary to investigate the strengths and vulnerabilities of Southeast Asia’s pre-COVID-19 economic infrastructure.

Understanding the structure of the region’s economic house requires going back to 1967, when Southeast Asian countries decided to pledge friendship to one another under the ASEAN framework. While other integrated regions such as NAFTA and the European Union have aggressively broken down trade barriers and significantly boosted intra-regional trade, ASEAN regional economic integration has chugged along slower.

Southeast Asian countries have not viewed trade between each other as a top priority. The trade agreements in the region have been forged around suggestions for ASEAN countries to lower tariffs on intra-regional trade to within a certain range and across limited industries. This has lowered but not eliminated barriers to intra-regional trade. Consequently, a relatively significant share of Southeast Asian trade is with countries outside the region. This active extra-regional engagement has resulted in ASEAN countries’ successful integration into global value chain networks.

A historically outward-facing region, in 2010 around 75 per cent of Southeast Asian commodity imports and exports came from countries outside of ASEAN. This share of extra-regional trade nudged closer to 80 per cent in 2018. This indicates that ASEAN’s global value chain network embeddedness has deepened over time.

Around 40 per cent of ASEAN’s extra-regional trade is with the rest of Asia. From 2010 to 2018 Southeast Asian countries forged major trade relationships with four Asian countries: China, Japan, South Korea and India. Outside Asia, the United States is the region’s major trading partner. ASEAN’s trade focus on Asia’s largest markets is not surprising. Countries tend to establish trade relationships with large, geographically close, and culturally similar markets.

Fostering deep relationships with a few large markets, however, is a double-edged sword. While it has allowed ASEAN to benefit from integration in global value chains, it has also resulted in increased vulnerability to the shocks affecting its network connections.

ASEAN’s participation in global value chains has allowed it to transition from a net regional importer in 1990 to a net regional exporter in 2018. But the region’s deep embeddedness in a small and tightly-coupled network cluster of extra-regional global value chain partners has exposed it to disruption to any and all of its external partners. By contrast, ASEAN’s intra-regional trade network structure is much more loosely-coupled: a consequence of persistent intra-regional trade barriers and thus lower intra-regional trade intensity.

In the pre-COVID-19 period, ASEAN built for itself an economic house held up by just five extra-regional markets, while doing less to expand and diversify its intra-regional trade network. The data shows that ASEAN trade became increasingly concentrated in these few external markets between 2010 and 2018.

This dependence on a handful of markets does not bode well for risk and crisis management. All of the region’s major trading partners have been significantly affected by COVID-19 and this in turn is blowing the ASEAN economic house down.

What are the ways forward? The immediate task at hand is to get a better picture of the region’s position in global value chain networks and to get on top of managing its network risk exposure. Already there are red flags around the region’s food security arising from its position in food value chains. It is critical to look for ways to introduce flexibility into existing supply chains for greater agility in responding to crises.

It is also an opportune time for ASEAN to harness the technology transfer gains of global value chain participation and invest in innovation-driven diversification of products and markets. The region’s embeddedness in global value chain networks certainly places it in a strong position to readily access large export markets not just in Asia but also Europe and the Americas.

Over the longer term, ASEAN is faced with the question of whether it should seriously look…

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Tiger Trade Launches SGX Trading, Meeting Demand from Asian Investors

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Asean

Can Asia maintain growth with an ever ageing population ?

To boost productivity in the future, Asian governments will have to implement well-targeted structural reforms today.

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Asia has been the world champion of economic growth for decades, and this year will be no exception. According to the latest International Monetary Fund Regional Economic Outlook(REO), the Asia-Pacific region’s GDP is projected to increase by 5.5% in 2017 and 5.4% in 2018. (more…)

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